From an economist's perspective, using the Relative Strength Index (RSI) as part of a trading strategy is a prudent choice, especially when combined with other indicators like volume divergence. The RSI, a momentum oscillator, provides insights into whether an asset is overbought or oversold, which can be particularly valuable in volatile markets like cryptocurrency where short-term fluctuations are common.
In a market prone to speculative behavior and frequent "fake pumps" — especially with meme coins — tools like the RSI help mitigate the risks of FOMO (fear of missing out) by providing a clear indication of overbought conditions. This approach is aligned with a more cautious, risk-averse trading strategy, focusing on avoiding market extremes rather than chasing rapid, unsustainable gains.
In terms of combining indicators, volume divergence adds a layer of depth by highlighting potential shifts in market sentiment. When price movements are not supported by volume, it can signal weakening trends, making it a useful confirmation tool for identifying false breakouts or unsustainable rallies.
An economist would likely appreciate this approach because it reflects a data-driven, systematic method of decision-making, as opposed to relying purely on market sentiment or speculative news, which can often lead to erratic price behavior. By focusing on objective indicators like RSI and volume, you’re better able to navigate the inherent volatility of crypto markets without getting swept up in short-term hype.
However, it’s important to acknowledge that no single indicator is foolproof, especially in markets prone to rapid shifts in sentiment. While RSI and volume divergence are strong tools, it would be prudent to continue incorporating other forms of analysis (like macroeconomic trends or broader market sentiment) to further refine the strategy and mitigate potential risks.