Halving Hype vs. Market Reality – Will 2025 Be Any Different?

[Isla]

In past halvings, major bull runs usually kicked off 6–12 months after the event. So the current sideways action isn’t out of character. That said, ETF demand may have front-loaded some gains, and rising miner sell pressure plus macro uncertainty are weighing things down. Has the halving been fully priced in? Maybe partially. But if history’s a guide, the bigger move could still be brewing — just on a delayed timeline.

 

[Olivia Mia]

The halving effect might have already been priced in this time around. With institutional demand ramping up through ETFs before the halving, the initial excitement and price jump we typically see may have already happened. The increase in miner sell pressure is definitely a factor, and the shaky macro market isn’t helping either. Historically, halvings take time to reflect their full impact, so the real move might come later this year, but it’s hard to ignore that the market conditions are different this time. We could be looking at a more delayed or muted response than in previous cycles.

 

[Dean]

Bro really thought Bitcoin would 10x the second Satoshi’s alarm clock went off for the halving Relax, this ain’t instant noodles. Maybe go touch grass while we wait for Q4 magic or don’t, and keep refreshing your charts like it's gonna make a difference.

 

[Lotus]

Historically, Bitcoin halvings have triggered major bull runs… eventually. But with the 2024 halving behind us, price action hasn’t exactly exploded.

This time around:

• Institutional BTC demand (via ETFs) already surged before the halving
• Miner sell pressure is increasing
• Macro market is shaky

I’m wondering: Has the halving effect already been priced in? Or is the real move coming later this year?

Would love to hear predictions based on past data vs. current cycle.

Halving’s done, but BTC’s still stretching like it hit snooze on the bull run.
Maybe the rocket’s just fueling—'cause history rhymes, but this cycle brought ETFs and macro migraines.

 

[ELIZA]

Historically, Bitcoin halvings have triggered major bull runs… eventually. But with the 2024 halving behind us, price action hasn’t exactly exploded.

This time around:

• Institutional BTC demand (via ETFs) already surged before the halving
• Miner sell pressure is increasing
• Macro market is shaky

I’m wondering: Has the halving effect already been priced in? Or is the real move coming later this year?

Would love to hear predictions based on past data vs. current cycle.

This halving feels front-run by institutions and smothered by macro uncertainty—historic patterns, meet modern noise.
If the real move’s coming, it’ll be delayed and data-driven—not the euphoric surge retail expects.

 

[GIFZE]

Historically, Bitcoin halvings have triggered major bull runs… eventually. But with the 2024 halving behind us, price action hasn’t exactly exploded.

This time around:

• Institutional BTC demand (via ETFs) already surged before the halving
• Miner sell pressure is increasing
• Macro market is shaky

I’m wondering: Has the halving effect already been priced in? Or is the real move coming later this year?

Would love to hear predictions based on past data vs. current cycle.

It's like a party that ended before retail showed up—ETFs front-ran the hype, miners are dumping, and momentum’s missing.
If history rhymes, it’s doing it off-key this cycle—and the charts aren't singing bullish just yet.

 

[Lotus]

Haha, it’s like waiting for a firework show and then realizing you’re stuck watching the sparkler phase. I think the halving is still like that slow-burn fuse it might not have exploded yet, but it’s lighting up behind the scenes. With institutional demand already revved up, miners holding onto their coins like they’re the last slice of pizza, and the macro market giving us whiplash, the real action could still be lurking, waiting to jump out like a surprise plot twist in a thriller. So yeah, maybe the big boom is just fashionably late this time around! Or maybe it’s just trolling us for now.

Feels like we’re hyping a grand finale, but stuck squinting at smoke and fizz.
If the halving’s the spark, the market’s still waiting on the bang — or just getting baited again.